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Research note: A simpler AI timelines model predicts 99% AI R&D automation in ~2032

Published on February 12, 2026 12:13 AM GMT In this post, I describe a simple model for forecasting when AI will automate AI development.

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Research note: A simpler AI timelines model predicts 99% AI R&D automation in ~2032

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Published on February 12, 2026 12:13 AM GMT In this post, I describe a simple model for forecasting when AI will automate AI development.

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